Business Pensacola

Deeper into population estimates

August 28, 2017

This decade the City of Pensacola has seen its declining population trend reverse. The turnaround began in Hayward’s first year in 2011. For 2006-2010, the city’s population dropped 4 percent or 2,283 people. For 2010-2017, the opposite has happened – 4 percent increase or 2,148 more people.

Mayor Hayward is correct to say the future for more population growth in the city is very positive, especially with the Southtowne Apartments coming online this fall and winter. When ParsCo and D.H. Horton complete their projects on the former Hallmark and Blount school sites, the census estimates for 2019 and 2020 should show further increases.

VT-MAE could have a positive impact on population growth, if its employees relocate to inside the city limits.  However, part of its mission is to hire current Pensacola residents.

The ambitious street paving program might attract more infill and residential development on the west side of Pensacola.  However,  more drainage projects are needed. Corrine-Jone and Bill Gregory projects are steps in the right direction, but engineers say they aren’t enough to solve the town’s stormwater problems.


 

Has Pensacola had the most “explosive growth” in our area?

No.

We analyzed the U.S. Census estimates starting in 2006 – the year after hurricanes Ivan and Dennis, which led to many people moving away from the Florida Gulf Coast.

Crestview holds that honor for most explosive growth with a 20 percent growth that has been steady since 2006, adding 1,277 people from 2006-2010 and another 2,587 from 2011-2016.

Like Pensacola, Fort Walton Beach lost 4 percent of its population from 2006-2010, but it has seen its population grow 12 percent this decade. Destin’s population growth was flat for the 2006-2010 but has seen a 12 percent jump from 2011-2016. Gulf Breeze lost 2 percent during the last four years of the last decade but has had a 12 percent boost since 2011.

Another steady performer has been the city of Milton – 3 percent growth from 2006-2010; 11 percent from 2011-2016.

Pensacola  Increase Growth %
2006  54,206
2007  53,425 -781 -1.4%
2008  52,680 -745 -1.4%
2009  52,178 -502 -1.0%
2010 51,923 -255 -0.5%
2011 52,057 134 0.3%
2012 52,029 -28 -0.1%
2013 52,761 732 1.4%
2014 52,773 12 0.0%
2015 53,364 591 1.1%
2016 53,503 139 0.3%
2017 54,071 568 1.1%
Total -135 -0.2%
2006-2010 -2,283 -4%
2011-2017 2,148 4%
Fort Walton Beach
2006 20,571
2007 20,230 -341 -1.7%
2008 19,936 -294 -1.5%
2009 19,682 -254 -1.3%
2010 19,518 -164 -0.8%
2011 19,708 190 1.0%
2012 20,318 610 3.1%
2013 20,551 233 1.1%
2014 21,496 945 4.6%
2015 21,785 289 1.3%
2016 21,971 186 0.9%
Total 1,400 6.8%
2006-2010 -889 -4%
2011-2016 2,453 12%
Milton
2006 8,474
2007 8,634 160 1.9%
2008 8,732 98 1.1%
2009 8,746 14 0.2%
2010 8,826 80 0.9%
2011 8,981 155 1.8%
2012 9,138 157 1.7%
2013 9,278 140 1.5%
2014 9,429 151 1.6%
2015 9,617 188 2.0%
2016 9,839 222 2.3%
Total 1,365 15.1%
2006-2010 272 3%
2011-2016 1,013 11%
Crestview
2006 19,346
2007 19,723 377 1.9%
2008 20,159 436 2.2%
2009 20,623 464 2.3%
2010 20,980 357 1.7%
2011 21,431 451 2.1%
2012 22,366 935 4.4%
2013 22,721 355 1.6%
2014 22,887 166 0.7%
2015 23,237 350 1.5%
2016 23,567 330 1.4%
Total 4,221 20.0%
2006-2010 1,277 6%
2011-2016 2,587 12%
Destin
2006 12,336
2007 12,308 -28 -0.2%
2008 12,293 -15 -0.1%
2009 12,295 2 0.0%
2010 12,305 10 0.1%
2011 12,417 112 0.9%
2012 12,811 394 3.2%
2013 13,221 410 3.2%
2014 13,315 94 0.7%
2015 13,505 190 1.4%
2016 13,654 149 1.1%
Total 1,318 10.3%
2006-2010 -41 0%
2011-2016 1,349 11%
Gulf Breeze
2006  5,931
2007  5,901 -30 -0.5%
2008  5,868 -33 -0.6%
2009  5,791 -77 -1.3%
2010 5,763 -28 -0.5%
2011 5,872 109 1.9%
2012 5,982 110 1.9%
2013 6,080 98 1.6%
2014 6,183 103 1.7%
2015 6,314 131 2.1%
2016 6,466 152 2.4%
Total 535 8.8%
2006-2010 -140 -2%
2011-2016 703 12%

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  • CJ Lewis August 29, 2017 at 9:34 am

    As best I can tell, there is but one “Eric Micali” in Escambia County. Mr. Micali refers in his post to “the town.” The only “town” in Escambia County is the Town of Century on the northern end. I live in the City of Pensacola – “the city.” I checked my recent copies of city and county voter records and find no record of an “Eric Micali” who lives in the City of Pensacola, the “Pensacola” that is the subject of the Rick’s Blog story. Looking at state records, I did find an Eric Micali who has a business in Ensley at a homesteaded property owned by someone else. The same Eric Micali is registered to vote at an Ensley address in the 32534 zip code. Looking at older records, an Eric Micali used to live at Navy Point in the 32507 zip code. To be clear, the fact that the U.S. Postal Service delivers mail to an address it describes as “Pensacola” does not mean that the address is “in” Pensacola. I am sure that Ensley is a wonderful place but it is not Pensacola.

    A good question for Mr. Micali to be asked and to answer is why he moved to Escambia County and decided “not” to live and set up his business “in” the City of Pensacola. Those of us who live in the city already know the answer. The city government is unresponsive to city residents and city businesses. We have a corrupt, dishonest and incompetent city government with a culture of non-compliance, non-enforcement, non-transparency and non-accountability. City residents, business and property owners pay significantly higher cumulative taxes and fees than those in the rest of Escambia County. The City of Pensacola suffers the highest per capita crime rate in Northwest Florida. Last year, the city’s per capita murder rate was more than 2.5 times the rate in New York City. I have had Pensacola Police Officers tell me that they will not live in the city because they do not want to subject their families to crime that is too high. Last year, my District 1 Councilman P.C. Wu told the City Council and public, “Many officers do not want to live in the city.” No one on the City Council has any desire to find out why the city’s police officers will not live in “our” neighborhoods.

    By the way, each month a magazine called “VIP Pensacola” features a photogenic person who gets a whole page to boast about themselves. The page is titled – “I am Pensacola” and then their name. For the most part, the people featured never live in the City of Pensacola. The person featured in the July edition of the magazine lives in Gulf Breeze. The person featured in the August edition lives far outside of city limits just south of Ten Mile Road. and west of the Scenic Hills Country Club. I repeatedly meet people to include city residents who do now know that you only live “in” the City of Pensacola if you have a black garbage can. The City of Pensacola covers less than 4% of the land mass of Escambia County. No one in Pensacola City Hall seems to care about the people who live “in” the City of Pensacola. Perhaps, as I recently explained to a City Council member, city voters should vote in November 2018 to abolish the city’s municipal corporation, as is allowed by state law. The burden of maintaining the infrastructure inside current city limits would then become a responsibility of all of Escambia County to include those living in Ensley and near Ten Mile Road.

    • Eric Micali September 2, 2017 at 7:26 am

      You’re correct, CJ, in that I no longer live in the “city of Pensacola”, but I did for 4 years prior to moving to the northern end of the area. I was just commenting on the overall area. The reason I set up DigitalEffex Web Hosting & Design, not within the actual city limits was that it was easier to establish at my current address. I haven’t personally had any issues with the city as far as my business, but hope things get better for those who have. Thanks for jumping in on the conversation!

  • Eric Micali August 29, 2017 at 7:12 am

    I moved here in 2011 and moved my business here in 2014 and have personally seen a huge amount of growth during those 6 years. I’m sure the traffic in the area has to do with the fact that the town has not quite caught up with the influx of new people (like myself). I can certainly understand the allure of Pensacola – it’s much better than Jersey!

    • Rick Outzen August 29, 2017 at 7:28 am

      Great have you here, Eric!