Poll: Hillary beats Jeb, Rubio and Ryan in 2016

January 11, 2013

The newest national poll by Public Policy Polling shows Hillary Clinton with a wide lead both among Democratic primary voters and against most of the big Republican names thought to be top contenders for their party’s presidential nomination in 2016.

Fifty-seven percent of Democrats want Clinton to be their candidate in 2016. Only Joe Biden at 16 percent also hits double digits. Others are very weak: Andrew Cuomo and Elizabeth Warren at 4 percent– I at least can recognize their names. Then there are a bunch of no-names: Martin O’Malley at 3 percent, Deval Patrick and Mark Warner at 2 percent, and Kirsten Gillibrand and Brian Schweitzer at 1 percent.

If Clinton and Biden sit it out, it’s an incredibly wide open race. Cuomo gets 19 percent, Warren 16 percent, O’Malley 7 percent, Patrick 6 percent, Gillibrand 5 percent, Warner 4 percent and Schweitzer 2 percent but the big winner is ‘undecided’ at 40 percent.

Clinton looks pretty strong in very early general election match ups as well. She has 14 point leads over Paul Ryan (53/39), Jeb Bush (51/37), and Marco Rubio (also 51/37).

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  • HazeMotes January 14, 2013 at 9:38 am

    True enough, Henry. It seems to me, though, that the people in the country have become much more politically polarized in the last ten-to-twenty years, but I am not wise enough to diagnose the reasons. I do worry that the next presidential campaign cycle will be more of the same kind of viciousness that we experienced during the last few cycles. And, to take on another point, even though you may disparage Fox news and the paranoid anti-Obama folks, you have to admit that paranoid people sometimes have reasons for paranoia. Moreover, no one is perfect, and that includes past and present presidents, which means criticism–even if inelegantly argued–might occasionally be valid.

  • Henry January 13, 2013 at 4:39 pm

    Sorry, I know it’s “Obama.” Misspelling was unintentional.

  • Henry January 13, 2013 at 4:38 pm

    Your post may be tongue-in-cheek, HazeMotes, but there are enough Tea Baggers and other dumb sheep that actually believe in some sort of conspiracy to keep Obamba beyond his 2nd term. They’re the ones who slept through government class or believe the dreck they hear on Fox Noise.

  • HazeMotes January 12, 2013 at 4:51 pm

    Postscript for Paul: Provocation, however slight, is sufficient to complete the act.

  • HazeMotes January 12, 2013 at 3:48 pm

    Ah, with my tongue in my cheek, I throw out a provocative red herring, and someone takes the bait. Well done.

  • Paul January 12, 2013 at 1:53 pm


    In case you slept through American Government class, or spend all your time watching Fox News…

    The 22nd Amendment limits presidents to two terms. It was passed by Congress in 1947 and ratified by the states in 1951. Amendments require 3/5 majority of both houses of Congress, and ratification by 75% of the states.

    Even if Obama wanted a third term and the bill were introduced tomorrow, his second term would be long over before passage, which in itself is very unlikely.

    Nothing to see here. Take your paranoia and move along.

  • HazeMotes January 11, 2013 at 7:25 pm

    So, it now appears as though presidential politics is a full-time annoyance. Can we not wait at least one or two more years before we start this kind of punishment again? On the other hand, what if the constitution gets revised to permit more than 2 terms by POTUS? Absurd? Wait for it. Don’t bet against it.

  • Roderick Adin Hamme January 11, 2013 at 5:27 pm

    Hillary Clinton said repeatedly she is not going to run for President. She plans to retire. Joe Biden might run, but I don’t think he is a strong candidate. He makes too many gaffes when he speaks. I think Andrew Cuomo will likely be the Democratic nominee and either Marco Rubio or Chris Christie will be the Republican nominee.