The 2020 primaries are nine months away. Inweekly hired the Political Matrix to check the temperature of District 1 Republicans.
The polling service surveyed 422 likely Republican Escambia District 1 voters and found the incumbents in the race for County Commissioner and ECUA ahead. However, there are still a large number of undecided voters in these contested races–which isn’t unusual since the candidates haven’t started campaigning that much.
Jeff Bergosh has nearly a 12-point lead over Casey, with 36 percent undecided. In the 2016 GOP primary, Bergosh garnered 41 percent of the vote in a three-person race. Casey received 29.8 percent and Karen Sindel 29.4%.
| County Commission | ||
| Responses 422 | Total | % |
| Jeff Bergosh (i) | 160 | 37.9 |
| Jesse Casey | 110 | 26.1 |
| Undecided | 152 | 36.0 |
For the District 1 ECUA seat, Vicky Campbell has a solid lead of more than 20 percentage points. Half of the voters surveyed were undecided.
| ECUA | ||
| Responses 422 | Total | % |
| Debra Brusso | 58 | 13.7 |
| Vicky Campbell (i) | 150 | 35.5 |
| Undecided | 214 | 50.7 |
METHODOLOGY:
County District 1 voters with a voting score of 100% for the general election cycles. The voters called were those only with landlines and were called using an Interactive Voice Response during the hours of 3-8 p.m. Â on November 17-18. The Margin of Error for this study is +/- 4.5% with a confidence level of 95%. Please see details on the following pages.