I don’t think the City of Pensacola has ever had a runoff for an At-Large seat or Mayor, but history shows it doesn’t take many votes to win the single member districts. District 2 – Larry Johnson v. Marty Donovan – will probably take 900-950 votes. District 7 – Ronald Townsend v. Jacqueline Shumaker – will take 450-500 votes.
My best guess for the At-Large 8 – Diane Mack v. Jack Nobles – is 3500-4000 votes will be needed to win. I expect less than 20 percent voter turnout.
2006
District 2
Sam Hall 479
Paul Young 297
2004
District 3
Mike DeSorbo: 929
Gerald W. Adcox Jr: 735
District 6
Jewel Cannada-Wynn: 454
Charles Fairchild: 223
District 7
Ronald Townsend: 452
Jacqueline Shumaker: 165