Inweekly had Political Matrix poll 404 likely Republican voters in Escambia County Commissioner District 1. First-term incumbent Jeff Bergosh leads the crowded pack, which isn’t surprising this early in the campaign cycle, but Jesse Casey, who is running for the post for the third time, is surprisingly close.
With 40.1% of the vote, Bergosh is trailed by Casey with 33.7%. Jonathan Owens, who recently got into the race, has 4.5%. Political newcomer Jimmie Trotter has 3% and 18.8% are undecided.
When the votes are broken down by age groups, Casey leads with the Millennials (22-34) and Gen-X (35-44). Bergosh leads in the other age groups.
We can expect the numbers to shift has the candidates begin campaigning in earnest.
| Total | Overall % | ||||
| Jeff Bergosh | 162 | 40.1% | |||
| Jesse Casey | 136 | 33.7% | |||
| Jonathan Owens | 18 | 4.5% | |||
| Jimmie Trotter | 12 | 3.0% | |||
| Undecided | 76 | 18.8% | |||
| 18-21 | 22-34 | 35-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | |
| Jeff Bergosh | 50.0% | 32.6% | 37.8% | 40.3% | 42.3% |
| Jesse Casey | 37.5% | 46.5% | 48.9% | 30.8% | 28.2% |
| Jonathan Owens | 0.0% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Jimmie Trotter | 0.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Undecided | 12.5% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 18.9% | 23.5% |
METHODOLOGY
The persons sampled were likely Republican County Commissioner District 1 voters with a voting score of 100% for the general election cycles. New voters were also included in the sample for the study. The voters were called using an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system during the hours of 1-7 p.m. between Jan. 30- Feb. 3. The Margin of Error for this study is +/- 4.5% with a confidence level of 95%