Rick's Blog

Poll: Biden leads Florida Primary

Telephone

Joe Biden still leads the Democratic Party field in the Florida Presidential Primary, but his lead has narrowed over the past 10 months. Late entry, Mike Bloomberg is within striking distance of edging out Bernie Sanders for second place.

The Inweekly/Political Matrix poll of 843 likely Florida Democrat voters found Biden  with 32.6% of the vote,  Sanders with 23.6%  and Bloomberg with 16.3%.  About 14% were undecided with the Florida primary less than three weeks away.

Total Percentage
Joe Biden 275 32.6%
Bernie Sanders 199 23.6%
Mike Bloomberg 137 16.3%
Pete Buttigieg 56 6.6%
Elizabeth Warren 40 4.7%
Amy Klobucher 19 2.3%
Undecided 117 13.9%

Biden’s share of likely Democratic voters has shrunk by 9.8 points since the April 16, 2019 poll. Saunders’ percentage has steadily grown–jumping 10.9 points. Bloomberg has swept in and garnered 16.3 percentage points, appearing to pick up many of the undecided voters.

Pete Buttigieg, Amy Klobucher and Elizabeth Warren don’t appear to be serious contenders for Florida Democrats–only pulling a combined total of 13.6% in the Feb. 27 poll, which is only up 4.3 points since last April.

2/27/20 8/7/19 4/16/19
Joe Biden 32.6% 41.5% 42.4%
Bernie Sanders 23.6% 15.9% 12.7%
Mike Bloomberg 16.3%
Pete Buttigieg 6.6% 6.0% 8.6%
Elizabeth Warren 4.7% 11.4% 0.7%
Amy Klobucher 2.3% 0.0%
Undecided/Other 13.9% 17.9% 35.6%

METHODOLOGY:

The persons sampled were likely Florida Democrat Party voters with a voting score of 100% for the general election cycles. The voters called using an Interactive Voice Response system and during the hours of 3- 8 p.m. between Feb. 26 and Feb. 27, 2020. The Margin of Error for this study is +/- 5.5% with a confidence level of 95%.


Yesterday, St. Pete Polls released the results of its poll of 2,788 likely Florida Democratic Presidential Primary voters, which was conducted from Feb. 25, 2020 to Feb. 26, 2020.  Their poll had Biden in the lead, 33.8%, followed by Bloomberg, 24.9%, and Sanders, 13.0%.

St. Pete Inweekly
Joe Biden 33.8% 32.6%
Mike Bloomberg 24.9% 16.3%
Bernie Sanders 13.0% 23.6%
Pete Buttigieg 7.8% 6.6%
Elizabeth Warren 5.4% 4.7%
Amy Klobucher 4.1% 2.3%
Undecided/Other 11.0% 13.9%
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