According to an Inweekly/Political Matrix poll of 625 likely Florida House District 2 voters, we found that 48.8% of the respondents were undecided about six months away. Challenger Cris Dosev had an eight-point lead over incumbent Alex Andrade, 29.6%-21.6%.
Dosev surprisingly was favored most by the 18-21 age group (42.4%), while Andrade had his highest percentage of support (40.2%) among Gen X, ages 35-64,
The final GOP primary vote may hinge on the 65+ age group, usually the largest voter bloc, where over 60 percent is undecided.
Total | Overall % | ||||
Alex Andrade | 135 | 21.6% | |||
Cris Dosev | 185 | 29.6% | |||
Undecided | 305 | 48.8% | |||
18-21 | 22-34 | 35-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | |
Alex Andrade | 27.3% | 23.3% | 40.2% | 21.0% | 13.0% |
Cris Dosev | 42.4% | 37.8% | 33.7% | 32.8% | 26.1% |
Undecided | 30.3% | 38.9% | 26.1% | 46.2% | 60.9% |
METHODOLOGY:
The persons sampled were likely Florida State House District 2 voters with a voting score of 100% for the general election cycles. New voters were also called in this sample size. The voters were called using an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system during the hours of 1-7 p.m. between Jan. 29-31. The Margin of Error for this study is +/- 4.5% with a confidence level of 95%.