Rick's Blog

Poll: Dosev leads Andrade in tight race

According to an Inweekly/Political Matrix poll of 625 likely Florida House District 2 voters, we found that 48.8% of the respondents were undecided about six months away. Challenger Cris Dosev had an eight-point lead over incumbent Alex Andrade, 29.6%-21.6%.

Dosev surprisingly was favored most by the 18-21 age group (42.4%), while Andrade had his highest percentage of support (40.2%) among Gen X, ages 35-64,

The final GOP primary vote may hinge on the 65+ age group, usually the largest voter bloc, where over 60 percent is undecided.

 

Total Overall %
Alex Andrade 135 21.6%
Cris Dosev 185 29.6%
Undecided 305 48.8%
18-21 22-34 35-44 45-64 65+
Alex Andrade 27.3% 23.3% 40.2% 21.0% 13.0%
Cris Dosev 42.4% 37.8% 33.7% 32.8% 26.1%
Undecided 30.3% 38.9% 26.1% 46.2% 60.9%

 


METHODOLOGY:

The persons sampled were likely Florida State House District 2 voters with a voting score of 100% for the general election cycles. New voters were also called in this sample size. The voters were called using an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system during the hours of 1-7 p.m. between Jan. 29-31. The Margin of Error for this study is +/- 4.5% with a confidence level of 95%.

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