Not much has changed in the First Congressional District primary races since Political Matrix polled in mid-April. As of July 12, Rep. Matt Gaetz still leads the GOP field, and Dr. Jennifer Zimmerman has a six-point lead over Phil Ehr in the Democratic primary. The Margin of Error for this study is +/- 3.5% with a confidence level of 95%
According to an Inweekly/Political Matrix poll of 505 likely Republican voters, Gaetz leads with 56 percent with 26.3 percent still needing more information or are undecided. Cris Dosev comes in with 14.1 percent of the vote and John Mills has 3.6 percent. The Margin of Error for this study was +/- 3.5% with a confidence level of 95%.
The poll of of 477 likely Democratic voters across the district had Zimmerman with 21.4 percent and Ehr with 15.3 percent. Over 60 percent were still undecided or needed more information about the two candidates. The Margin of Error for this study was +/- 4.5% with a confidence level of 95%.
| REPUBLICANS | July 11-12 | Apr 13-16 |
| Matt Gaetz | 56.0% | 54.0% |
| Cris Dosev | 14.1% | 10.7% |
| John Mills | 3.6% | 7.5% |
| Need more information | 17.8% | 14.7% |
| Undecided | 8.5% | 13.1% |
| DEMOCRATS | July 11-12 | Apr 13-16 |
| Jennifer Zimmerman | 21.4% | 19.0% |
| Phil Ehr | 15.3% | 12.3% |
| Need more information | 39.6% | 44.6% |
| Undecided | 23.7% | 24.2% |
METHODOLOGY:
The persons sampled were likely voters of the primary and general election cycles throughout the Florida First Congressional District. They were called using an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system and were called during the hours of 2-8 p.m. July 11-12, 2018. The phone numbers called were provided by the State of Florida Division of Elections office.