According to the latest Inweekly/Political Matrix poll of 493 likely Pensacola voters, the race for mayor is getting closer with Brian Spencer now only trailing by 7.3 percentage points – Grover Robinson 44.8 to Brian Spencer 37.5. In our Sept. 10 poll, Robinson led by 10.6 points. The percentage of voters that either don’t know the candidates or are still undecided remained the same, 17.6 percent – which indicates Spencer is pulling votes away from Robinson.
| Overall | Oct. 8 | Sept. 10 | |
| Grover Robinson | 44.8% | 46.5% | |
| Brian Spencer | 37.5% | 35.9% | |
| Gap | 7.3% | 10.6% | |
| Don’t know candidates | 9.3% | 10.2% | |
| Undecided | 8.3% | 7.4% | |
| Total uncertain | 17.6% | 17.6% |
When we look at the individual districts, Spencer has picked up votes in District 6, a 24.7-point swing in his favor in the city council district he has represented for eight years. He had an even greater swing in District 7 — 28.6 points. District 1 now supports Spencer.
Robinson has flipped District 4 in his favor and widened his lead in Districts 2, 3 and 5.
| Districts | Robinson | Spencer | Uncertain | Gap |
District 1 |
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| Oct. 8 | 46.8% | 32.9% | 20.3% | 13.9% |
| Sept. 10 | 53.6% | 35.7% | 10.7% | 17.9% |
District 2 |
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| Oct. 8 | 48.9% | 26.7% | 24.4% | 22.2% |
| Sept. 10 | 44.0% | 28.0% | 28.0% | 16.0% |
District 3 |
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| Oct. 8 | 55.6% | 31.1% | 13.3% | 24.5% |
| Sept. 10 | 47.8% | 31.9% | 20.2% | 15.9% |
District 4 |
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| Oct. 8 | 46.8% | 41.8% | 11.4% | 5.0% |
| Sept. 10 | 43.5% | 50.6% | 5.9% | -7.1% |
District 5 |
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| Oct. 8 | 44.8% | 37.9% | 17.2% | 6.9% |
| Sept. 10 | 37.9% | 32.8% | 29.3% | 5.1% |
District 6 |
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| Oct. 8 | 38.2% | 41.6% | 20.2% | -3.4% |
| Sept. 10 | 55.3% | 34.0% | 10.6% | 21.3% |
District 7 |
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| Oct. 8 | 28.3% | 50.9% | 20.8% | -22.6% |
| Sept. 10 | 38.0% | 32.0% | 30.0% | 6.0% |
METHODOLOGY:
The persons sampled were likely city of Pensacola voters of primary and general election cycles. The voters were called using an InteractiveVoice Response (IVR) system during the hours of 12PM to 8PM Oct. 6-8. The Margin of Error for this study is +/- 3.5% with a confidence level of 95%.
