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Rep. Michelle Salzman’s Support Slipped on Nov. 3

Posted on November 11, 2026

House District 1

State Rep. Michelle Salzman (R-District 1) saw her popularity among her constituents dip on November 3, losing 12 of Escambia County’s 41 precincts to underfunded Democrat Francesca Yabraian. Totals: Salzman 38,031 (59.56%), Yabraian 25,820 (40.44%).

  • The 2022 Midterm totals: Salzman 43,026 (69.27%), Franscine Mathis 19,087 (30.73%). The state lawmaker won by a margin of 23,939, and she carried 34 precincts to Mathis’s five.

Compared with 2026: Salzman’s margin fell from 23,939 to 12,211, about half, and her share dropped almost 10 points to 59.56%. Yabraian flipped seven precincts from Salzman.

  • Biggest drops by percentage points: Precinct 101 at Hadji Temple (18.61 points), Precinct 75 at Pensacola Baptist Temple (14.24), Precinct 114 at Windy Hill Baptist (13.24), and Precincts 88 and 91 at Olive Baptist (about 12 each).

Spending

Salzman spent $560,003 during this election cycle—$14.72 per vote:

  • Campaign: $191,165
  • Protect Northwest Florida: $287,756.75
  • Friends of Michelle Salzman: $81,081.34

Yabraian spent $7,714.90— 30 cents per vote.


Salzman’s Vote Comparison 2022 vs. 2026

PCT Polling Place 2022 Votes 2022% 2026 Votes 2026% Vote Change Pct. Pt. Change
5 Klondike Church of Pensacola 1,444 79.47% 1,289 68.38% -155 -11.09
6 St. Monica’s Episcopal Church 755 76.88% 629 70.28% -126 -6.6
7 Pinewoods Presbyterian Church 3,098 77.35% 3,138 69.55% 40 -7.81
11 Walnut Hill Community Center 594 87.74% 514 84.54% -80 -3.2
18 Ray’s Chapel Baptist Church 317 90.83% 278 91.45% -39 0.62
19 Barrineau Park Community Center 2,321 88.45% 2,045 83.47% -276 -4.98
21 International Paper 1,263 73.34% 1,080 61.71% -183 -11.63
22 Billy G. Ward Century Courthouse 227 50.90% 196 41.70% -31 -9.19
23 Byrneville Community Center 452 93.39% 380 89.62% -72 -3.77
25 Azalea Trace 462 66.57% 428 58.71% -34 -7.86
26 Bellview Library 1,833 70.91% 1,591 60.49% -242 -10.41
28 Damascus Road Missionary Baptist 515 33.46% 477 28.68% -38 -4.78
33 First Baptist Church of Bratt 719 92.54% 636 91.25% -83 -1.29
34 St. Andrew Orthodox Church 268 30.88% 241 25.86% -27 -5.02
36 Quintette Community Center 1,453 77.53% 1,412 68.74% -41 -8.79
38 Gonzalez Baptist Church 1,784 77.06% 1,512 68.73% -272 -8.34
43 Beulah Church 2,962 78.63% 1,070 70.58% -1,892 -8.05
51 Pensacola Lodge #42 F&AM 1,203 61.91% 1,105 52.10% -98 -9.82
62 Charity Chapel Church 458 57.83% 366 48.16% -92 -9.67
63 Marie K. Young Wedgewood Center 25 5.49% 33 6.86% 8 1.37
68 Pensacola Interstate Fairgrounds 1,479 70.26% 1,250 59.92% -229 -10.34
69 St. James Missionary Baptist Church 1,109 50.89% 1,038 41.91% -71 -8.99
70 Burgess Road Baptist Church 775 53.86% 661 43.52% -114 -10.34
74 Escambia County Extension Office 2,712 79.21% 2,278 70.86% -434 -8.35
75 Pensacola Baptist Temple 896 65.40% 684 51.16% -212 -14.24
80 Myrtle Grove Baptist 362 67.16% 299 56.42% -63 -10.75
86 Christ the King Baptist 952 63.68% 844 55.31% -108 -8.37
88 Olive Baptist Church 735 61.35% 612 49.28% -123 -12.08
91 Olive Baptist Church 1,399 68.68% 1,171 56.62% -228 -12.05
101 Hadji Temple 897 68.06% 799 49.44% -98 -18.61
102 Marcus Pointe Baptist 1,308 63.71% 1,136 55.17% -172 -8.54
103 Lakeview Baptist Church 318 34.60% 310 29.03% -8 -5.58
104 Mayfair Community 345 39.79% 256 28.51% -89 -11.28
108 Holy Cross Episcopal 914 61.47% 827 53.01% -87 -8.45
110 Pensacola Christian 624 88.89% 413 80.51% -211 -8.38
111 St. Luke United Methodist 1,215 69.07% 1,034 57.89% -181 -11.18
112 Hillcrest Baptist Church 2,777 73.99% 2,250 63.78% -527 -10.22
113 Escambia Education Association 446 63.17% 392 57.06% -54 -6.11
114 Windy Hill Baptist 1,610 78.61% 1,656 65.38% 46 -13.24
115 First Baptist Church of Beulah 1,701 67.47%
Total 43,026 69.27% 38,031 59.56% -4,995 -9.71

2026 Precincts

Precinct Polling Place Salzman (R) Salzman % Yabraian (D) Yabraian % Total Margin Winner
5 Klondike Church of Pensacola 1,289 68.38% 596 31.62% 1,885 693 Salzman
6 St. Monica’s Episcopal Church 629 70.28% 266 29.72% 895 363 Salzman
7 Pinewoods Presbyterian Church 3,138 69.55% 1,374 30.45% 4,512 2,243 Salzman
11 Walnut Hill Community Center 514 84.54% 94 15.46% 608 420 Salzman
18 Ray’s Chapel Baptist Church 278 91.45% 26 8.55% 304 252 Salzman
19 Barrineau Park Community Center 2,045 83.47% 405 16.53% 2,450 1,640 Salzman
21 International Paper 1,080 61.71% 670 38.29% 1,750 410 Salzman
22 Billy G. Ward Century Courthouse 196 41.70% 274 58.30% 470 -78 Yabraian
23 Byrneville Community Center 380 89.62% 44 10.38% 424 336 Salzman
25 Azalea Trace 428 58.71% 301 41.29% 729 127 Salzman
26 Bellview Library 1,591 60.49% 1,039 39.51% 2,630 552 Salzman
28 Damascus Road Missionary Baptist 477 28.68% 1,186 71.32% 1,663 -709 Yabraian
33 First Baptist Church of Bratt 636 91.25% 61 8.75% 697 575 Salzman
34 St. Andrew Orthodox Church 241 25.86% 691 74.14% 932 -450 Yabraian
36 Quintette Community Center 1,412 68.74% 642 31.26% 2,054 770 Salzman
38 Gonzalez Baptist Church 1,512 68.73% 688 31.27% 2,200 824 Salzman
43 Beulah Church 1,070 70.58% 446 29.42% 1,516 624 Salzman
51 Pensacola Lodge #42 F&AM 1,105 52.10% 1,016 47.90% 2,121 89 Salzman
62 Charity Chapel Church 366 48.16% 394 51.84% 760 -28 Yabraian
63 Marie K. Young Wedgewood  Center 33 6.86% 448 93.14% 481 -415 Yabraian
68 Pensacola Interstate Fairgrounds 1,250 59.92% 836 40.08% 2,086 414 Salzman
69 St. James Missionary Baptist Church 1,038 41.91% 1,439 58.09% 2,477 -401 Yabraian
70 Burgess Road Baptist Church 661 43.52% 858 56.48% 1,519 -197 Yabraian
74 Escambia County Extension Office 2,278 70.86% 937 29.14% 3,215 1,341 Salzman
75 Pensacola Baptist Temple 684 51.16% 653 48.84% 1,337 31 Salzman
80 Myrtle Grove Baptist Church 299 56.42% 231 43.58% 530 68 Salzman
86 Christ the King Baptist Church 844 55.31% 682 44.69% 1,526 162 Salzman
88 Olive Baptist Church 612 49.28% 630 50.72% 1,242 -18 Yabraian
90 St. John Divine Baptist Church 0 0.00% 1 100.00% 1 -1 Yabraian
91 Olive Baptist Church 1,171 56.62% 897 43.38% 2,068 274 Salzman
101 Hadji Temple 799 49.44% 817 50.56% 1,616 -18 Yabraian
102 Marcus Pointe Baptist Church 1,136 55.17% 923 44.83% 2,059 213 Salzman
103 Lakeview Baptist Church 310 29.03% 758 70.97% 1,068 -448 Yabraian
104 Mayfair Community Center 256 28.51% 642 71.49% 898 -386 Yabraian
108 Holy Cross Episcopal Church 827 53.01% 733 46.99% 1,560 94 Salzman
110 Pensacola Christian College 413 80.51% 100 19.49% 513 313 Salzman
111 St. Luke United Methodist 1,034 57.89% 752 42.11% 1,786 282 Salzman
112 Hillcrest Baptist Church 2,250 63.78% 1,278 36.22% 3,528 972 Salzman
113 Escambia Education Association 392 57.06% 295 42.94% 687 97 Salzman
114 Windy Hill Baptist Church 1,656 65.38% 877 34.62% 2,533 779 Salzman
115 First Baptist Church of Beulah 1,701 67.47% 820 32.53% 2,521 881 Salzman
Total 38,031 59.56% 25,820 40.44% 63,851 12,211

Salzman takes on Hill

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