TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN AUG 23 2015
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Danny, located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands.
1. A broad low pressure area located a couple of hundred miles northwest of Bermuda continues to produce disorganized shower activity. This system is expected to move generally northward and merge with a frontal system during the next day or so, and subtropical or tropical cyclone development is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…near 0 percent
2. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are associated with a low pressure area located about 500 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by mid-week while the wave moves quickly westward at around 20 mph. By
late this week, atmospheric conditions could become less favorable for tropical cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent
3. Another tropical wave is expected to move off of the west coast of Africa later today. Environmental conditions could be conducive for some development of this system this week while this disturbance moves westward over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent