Poll: 11-point swing in Council District 4 race

According to an Inweekly/Political Matrix poll of likely Pensacola City voters residing in District 4, Chris Phillips has moved ahead of Jared Moore by 2.8 points—a 10.8-point swing since the Aug. 28 primary.  However, nearly 29-percent of District 4 voters were uncertain how they would cast their votes in November.

Factoring in the margin of error, Phillips and Moore are in a dead heat — 37.0 to 34.2 percent.

10-Sep Primary
Jared Moore 34.2% 41.3%
Chris Phillips 37.0% 33.4%
Gap -2.8% 8.0%
Don’t know candidates 20.5%
Undecided 8.2%
Total uncertain 28.7%



The Political Matrix sampled 146 likely District 4 voters of the primary and general election cycles. They were called using an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system  during the hours of 2-8 p.m. Sept. 7-10. The phone numbers called were provided by Escambia Supervisor of Elections Office. The Margin of Error for this study is +/- 4.5% with a confidence level of 95%.