According to an Inweekly/Political Matrix poll of likely Pensacola City voters residing in District 4, Chris Phillips has moved ahead of Jared Moore by 2.8 points—a 10.8-point swing since the Aug. 28 primary. However, nearly 29-percent of District 4 voters were uncertain how they would cast their votes in November.
Factoring in the margin of error, Phillips and Moore are in a dead heat — 37.0 to 34.2 percent.
| 10-Sep | Primary | |
| Jared Moore | 34.2% | 41.3% |
| Chris Phillips | 37.0% | 33.4% |
| Gap | -2.8% | 8.0% |
| Don’t know candidates | 20.5% | |
| Undecided | 8.2% | |
| Total uncertain | 28.7% |
METHODOLOGY
The Political Matrix sampled 146 likely District 4 voters of the primary and general election cycles. They were called using an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system during the hours of 2-8 p.m. Sept. 7-10. The phone numbers called were provided by Escambia Supervisor of Elections Office. The Margin of Error for this study is +/- 4.5% with a confidence level of 95%.