According to an Inweekly/Political Matrix poll of 580 likely State House District 1 voters, incumbent Mike Hill holds a strong lead versus challenger Michelle Salzman. In the survey, 51.4% supported Hill with 21.7% going toward Salzman, leaving the remainder 26.9% undecided. One telling part of the poll was that with Millennials, Salzman led with 40.9% compared to Hill’s 34.1% of the vote.
| Total | Overall % | ||||
| Mike Hill | 298 | 51.4% | |||
| Michelle Salzman | 126 | 21.7% | |||
| Undecided | 156 | 26.9% | |||
| 18-21 | 22-34 | 35-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | |
| Mike Hill | 66.7% | 34.1% | 51.4% | 62.0% | 52.9% |
| Michelle Salzman | 6.7% | 40.9% | 22.9% | 20.6% | 16.0% |
| Undecided | 26.7% | 25.0% | 25.7% | 17.4% | 31.1% |
METHODOLOGY:
 The persons sampled were likely Florida State House District 1 voters with a voting score of 100% for the general election cycles. New voters were also included in the sample for the study. The voters were called using an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system during the hours of 1PM to 7PM between January 30 to February 3, 2020. The Margin of Error for this study is +/- 4.5% with a confidence level of 95%.
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