Statewide races vs. Inweekly polls

In governor’s race, the Inweekly/Political Matrix poll predicted the margin of victory for Congressman Ron DeSantis over Agriculture Commissioner Adam Putnam – 20 percent.

The Democratic primary had Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum mount a two-week surge that put him over  Gwen Graham. On Aug. 14, the Inweekly/Political Matrix poll had Graham ahead with 26 percent. Philip Levine had 16 percent, Gillum 15 percent, Jeff Greene 10 percent and Chris King 9 percent. We had 24 percent uncertain.

Gillum picked up 19 percentage points, Graham only 5 points and Levine 4 points.  Greene held his 10 percent and King dropped 7 points.

In Republican primary for Attorney General, the Inweekly/Political Matrix poll had Ashely Moody slightly ahead of Pensacola State Rep. Frank White, while most polls had White in the lead.  Our Aug. 14 poll had 37 percent of the likely GOP voters uncertain.  Moody picked up 25 percent of those votes to defeat White, 57-43.

 

Governor 14-Aug Election
GOP
Ron DeSantis 51% 56%
Adam Putnam 31% 37%
Margin 20% 20%
Dem 14-Aug Election
Andrew Gilllum 15% 34%
Gwen Graham 26% 31%
Jeff Greene 10% 10%
Chris King 9% 2%
Phillip Levine 16% 20%
Undecided 24%
Attorney General 14-Aug Election
GOP
Ashley Moody 32% 57%
Frank White 30% 43%
Undecided 37%

In the Congressional District 1 race, Cris Dosev was able to narrow the gap since our July 12 poll,  41 to 35 points, but was unable to catch incumbent Matt Gaetz in the GOP primary.

On the Democratic side, Dr. Jennifer Zimmerman led on July 12 and expended her margin over Phil Ehr by 14 points.

GOP 12-Jul Election
Cris Dosev 14% 30%
Matt Gaetz 56% 65%
John Mills 4% 5%
Undecided 26%
Dem 12-Jul Election
Phil Ehr 15%
40%
Jennifer M. Zimmerman 21% 60%
Undecided 63%
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