Escambia County Commissioner Grover Robinson has a commanding lead in the race to be Pensacola’s next mayor but still falls short of winning the office without a runoff, according to the latest Inweekly/Political Matrix poll.  Who will be in the runoff against him? Right now, it’s David Mayo, but the other challengers aren’t out of contention.
Robinson garnered 41.8 percent of the respondents, followed by David Mayo (12.6 percent) and Drew Buchanan (10.5 percent). With the August primary 10 weeks away, 19.2 percent of the voters don’t know the candidates and another 6.8 percent are undecided.
The persons sampled were likely voters of the primary and general election cycles. They were called using an Interactive Voice Response system during the hours of 2-8 p.m. to June 14-15,. The phone numbers called were provided by the Escambia County Supervisor of Elections office. The Margin of Error for this study is +/- 3.5 percent with a confidence level of 95 percent.
| Responses | % | |
| Grover Robinson | 239 | 41.8% |
| David Mayo | 72 | 12.6% |
| Drew Buchanan | 60 | 10.5% |
| Lawrence Powell | 39 | 6.8% |
| Jonathan Green | 13 | 2.3% |
| I don’t know these candidates | 110 | 19.2% |
| Undecided | 39 | 6.8% |
When compared to the March 26 poll, Drew Buchanan has the most momentum of the four other candidates. Buchanan’s support increased by 4.6 percentage points, while Robinson and Mayo only picked up 1.4 points each. The two new candidates, Lawrence Powell and Jonathan Green, appeared to have picked up their support from the undecided. Of the two, Powell is within striking distance of making a runoff.
| 14-Jun | 26-Mar | |
| Grover Robinson | 41.8% | 40.4% |
| David Mayo | 12.6% | 11.2% |
| Drew Buchanan | 10.5% | 5.9% |
| Lawrence Powell | 6.8% | – |
| Jonathan Green | 2.3% | – |
| I don’t know these candidates | 19.2% | – |
| Undecided | 6.8% | 42.5% |
