U.S. Senate and Florida Governor races very, very tight

According to an Inweekly/Political Matrix poll of 1.037 likely Florida voters, both the U.S. Senate and Florida Governor races are too close to call. Incumbent Sen. Bill Nelson (D) holds a razor thin lead over Gov. Rick Scott (R), 45.8-44.6 percent, with 9.5 percent undecided. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percent.

Bill Nelson 45.8%
Rick Scott 44.6%
Undecided 9.5%

Independent voters are also split between the two candidate:

Bill Nelson 74.5% 16.2% 44.6%
Rick Scott 13.8% 77.9% 43.1%
Undecided 11.7% 5.9% 12.4%


When looking at the governor’s race between Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum (D) and Congressman Ron DeSantis (R),  DeSantis has a slight lead, 46.7-44.5 percent, with 8.9 percent undecided. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percent.

Rod DeSantis 46.7%
Andrew Gillum 44.5%
Undecided 8.9%

Gillum is leading among the voters with a party affiliation.

Rod DeSantis 19.6% 77.9% 41.1%
Andrew Gillum 73.4% 14.0% 44.6%
Undecided 7.0% 8.1% 14.4%


The persons sampled were likely voters of the primary and general election cycles throughout Florida with data comprised from Aristotle as well as the Division of Elections Statewide database. They were called using an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system during the hours of 12PM to 8PM Sept. 27-30. The Margin of Error for this study is +/- 3.5 percent with a confidence level of 95 percent.