On the GOP side, all three candidates are bunched up:
David Jolly: 18%
Ron DeSantis: 15%
Carlos Lopez-Cantera: 14%
Name recognition remains the issue. David Jolly and Ron DeSantis each have 37% name recognition, and for Carlos Lopez-Cantera is at 31%.
On the Democratic side:
Alan Grayson: 33%
Patrick Murphy: 27%
The Democratic hopefuls are better known than the Republicans.Grayson has 55% name recognition; Murphy 48%.
According to the post, the general elections match ups lean slightly Democratic at this point, with Murphy generally faring better in them than Grayson. Murphy leads all the Republicans- it’s 40/35 over both DeSantis and Jolly, and 41/35 over Lopez-Cantera. Grayson slightly trails both Jolly (39/36) and DeSantis (37/36), but does lead Lopez-Cantera 41/34.
One thing that could put a wrench in the whole Senate race is if Sen. Marco Rubio makes a late pivot to run for reelection as his Presidential campaign struggles. He would start out with pretty decent sized leads over both Murphy (46/40) and Grayson (48/38) if he ended up making that change in plans.